Skip to main content
Copyright © Aluma Capital (Pty) Ltd. All rights reserved.
Aluma Capital (Pty) Ltd is a registered Financial Services Provider (FSP 46449) in terms of The Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (37 of 2002)

Local Markets


The Rise of Cryptocurrencies: Opportunities, Challenges, and the South African Context

In recent years, cryptocurrencies have transformed the financial landscape, capturing the attention of investors and consumers alike. As younger generations increasingly turn to digital currencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, alternative investments are becoming more appealing. This growth is not without challenges, including risks associated with nefarious uses and regulatory hurdles.
As we approach the end of the year, the South African economy appears to be on an upward trajectory, with newfound optimism following the elections in May 2024. Economic growth exceeded expectations in the second quarter, although challenges remain that could affect performance in the medium term. The South African government is acutely aware of these obstacles and is committed to addressing them swiftly.
In response to shifting economic conditions, the South African Reserve Bank has announced a 25-basis point reduction in interest rates. This decision reflects lower inflation expectations and aims to stimulate growth amid persistent economic challenges. With consumer confidence rising and a more stable electricity supply on the horizon, the MPC is optimistic about fostering a recovery in the latter part of 2024. However, ongoing concerns about consumer indebtedness and inflationary pressures remain critical considerations for future policy.

Previous Articles

In response to shifting economic conditions, the South African Reserve Bank has announced a 25-basis point reduction in interest rates. This decision reflects lower inflation expectations and aims to stimulate growth amid persistent economic challenges. With consumer confidence rising and a more stable electricity supply on the horizon, the MPC is optimistic about fostering a recovery in the latter part of 2024. However, ongoing concerns about consumer indebtedness and inflationary pressures remain critical considerations for future policy.
Today we are expecting a drop in the Interest Rate based on the international developments and what is happening in other emerging markets. Providing a potential drop of 25 basis points, or more.
The South African economy avoided a technical recession by expanding 0.4% quarter-on-quarter in the second quarter of 2024. This growth was slightly above the 0.3% anticipated by most market analysts.
International trade measures South Africa’s demand for foreign goods and services against the demand for domestically manufactured products internationally.
Credit demand remains under pressure as high interest rates still weigh on consumers and businesses decision to borrow more. With lower inflation levels recorded in both producer and consumer inflation hopefully the Reserve Bank will start an interest rate lowering cycle to aid a struggling South African economy that has been stagnant for the couple of years.
August 29, 2024
Producer price inflation was just released by Stats SA and moderated even further than most market analysts expected for the month of July. This moderation in producer inflation bodes well for overall inflation in the economy and interest rate decisions that the SARB may take in the following months to come.

Current Economic and Political Climate in South Africa

The pressing question on everyone’s mind is: “Where are we as a country and economy, and where are we headed?” This question can only be partially answered given the developments since the formation of the Government of National Unity (GNU) at the end of May 2024. As we assess the situation two months in, another question arises: “Are we still in a honeymoon phase, and if so, how long will it last?

Investors regain their risk appetite amid optimism over a potential diplomatic solution to the war in Ukraine.
With just over a week having elapsed in Europe’s latest conflict, the global economic outlook has worsened and optimism in the much anticipated global economic recovery is fleeting as the long-awaited exit from the economic implications of the pandemic seems to be pushed further and further down the path by this latest geopolitical spanner thrown in the works.
The theme laid out this year by our Finance Minister Mr Enoch Godongwana in the 2022 National Budget Speech was centred around supplementing the economic rehabilitation of South Africans and building for the future.
Shockwaves are being felt in every asset class across the world’s financial markets as Russia invades Ukraine and sparks Europe’s largest military conflict since World War II but how is it affecting your portfolio?
As geopolitical tensions threaten to heat up between Ukraine and Russia, and key inflation data from the U.S is waited on with bated breath, investors remain watchful and cautious in their approach this week.
The War-Cry for investors and portfolio managers this Month: “Hold your fire!”
As interest rate fears weigh heavily on markets, the dominant questions on investors’ minds are, how fast the economic recovery will be, and how the rising cost of energy will affect this recovery going into 2022.
0:00
0:00