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Frederick Mitchell, Chief Economist | Aluma Capital (Pty) Ltd
Frederick Mitchell
February 5, 2025

International Trade and Trade Balance

South Africa recorded a trade balance surplus of R15.46 billion in December 2024, where exports exceeded imports. While annual figures showed declines for both, there is optimism for 2025 as lower interest rates and easing infrastructure bottlenecks could enhance trade activity and support economic growth.
International Trade and Trade Balance graph, Aluma Capital (Pty) Ltd
International Trade and Trade Balance table, Aluma Capital (Pty) Ltd

International trade measures South Africa’s demand for foreign goods and services against the demand for domestically manufactured products in global markets. The country mainly exports raw materials, such as base metals, gold, precious metals, and minerals, while importing value-added goods like vehicles, chemicals, and machinery.

In December 2024, South Africa achieved a trade balance surplus of R15.46 billion, indicating that exports exceeded imports. However, on an annual basis, both exports and imports declined, with exports contracting by 1.4% and imports dropping by 6.5%. The decrease in imports from November suggests subdued demand after Black Friday purchases, while exports also saw a notable reduction during this period.

Compared to the same months in 2023, the value of exports and imports for November and December 2024 was lower, despite lower interest rates and a similar Rand/Dollar exchange rate. Moving forward, there is hope that the South African economy will build on the confidence gained in 2024, particularly with lower interest rates and a reduction in infrastructure bottlenecks affecting international trade at port and rail facilities.

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More Coverage

Manufacturing Production

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In August, South Africa’s manufacturing output further declined by 1.5%, following a 1.3% decrease in July. This downturn was significantly below market expectations, which had forecasted a 0.3% increase for August. The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) also fell by 1.4 points, from 50.8 in July to 49.5 in August 2025, indicating a less favourable business climate anticipated by manufacturers for the month.

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Gold and Foreign Exchange

September 2025
The South African International Liquidity Position, measured by Net Gold and Foreign Exchange Reserves, showed growth in both USD and Rand terms for September 2025.

Private Sector Credit Extension (PSCE)

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In August 2025, credit demand grew by 5.9%, slightly below the anticipated market prediction of 6.0% for the month. Since the initiation of interest rate cuts in September 2024, there has been a noticeable acceleration in overall credit growth, with most subcategories showing increases, particularly in July.

Internation Trade and Trade Balance

August 2025
International trade measures South Africa’s demand for foreign goods and services relative to its demand for domestically produced products in the global market.
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