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August 13, 2025

South Africa

Employment Statistics

2025 Q2

The employment statistics for the second quarter of 2025 show a varied landscape across different sectors, as illustrated in the table above. Certain sectors have experienced job growth compared to the first quarter of 2025, whereas others have seen a reduction in employment opportunities. The unemployment rate has increased slightly, moving from 32.9% in the previous quarter to 33.2% in the second quarter of 2025. However, the expanded unemployment rate has seen a slight decrease from 43.1% to 42.9% in the same period.

In South Africa, formal non-agricultural employment saw a modest increase of 34,000, rising from 11.434 million to 11.468 million. The combined total of formally unemployed individuals in non-agricultural and agricultural sectors rose by just 19,000, stabilising around 16.8 million across the country. The working-age population expanded by about 131,000 in the second quarter, reflecting an annual growth rate of approximately 1.3%.

Unemployment rates ascended in three out of the nine provinces, although Gauteng (+95,000), Eastern Cape (+89,000), and Limpopo (+27,000) reported employment rises. Notable employment gains were observed in the Trade, Construction, and Private Household sectors, despite the informal sector losing 34,000 jobs during the reviewed quarter.

Overall, these employment figures remain somewhat disheartening, with the unemployment rate surpassing the predicted 33.0% for the second quarter of 2025. This deceleration is partly due to persistent global uncertainties, including repercussions from the imposition of US trade tariffs announced in August. Uncertainties surrounding the future of the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA) beyond September 2025 pose another challenge, as the South African government has yet to negotiate a new trade agreement with the current US administration.

Ongoing diplomatic tensions between Washington and Pretoria on various issues continue to impact economic confidence and investment decisions in South Africa. Consequently, many businesses are maintaining a cautious “wait-and-see” approach regarding expansion and hiring in the short term, particularly as they face the August 7 deadline for tariffs on exports to the US market.


More Coverage

September 2025
The South African International Liquidity Position, measured by Net Gold and Foreign Exchange Reserves, showed growth in both USD and Rand terms for September 2025.
August 2025
In August 2025, credit demand grew by 5.9%, slightly below the anticipated market prediction of 6.0% for the month. Since the initiation of interest rate cuts in September 2024, there has been a noticeable acceleration in overall credit growth, with most subcategories showing increases, particularly in July.
August 2025
International trade measures South Africa’s demand for foreign goods and services relative to its demand for domestically produced products in the global market.
Unpacking the Undervaluation and Economic Implications
As of October 2025, the South African Rand is trading at R17.15 against the US Dollar, a significant figure in the context of an estimated average exchange rate of R18.20 from January to September 2025. Market analyses leveraging the Purchase Power Parity (PPP) exchange rate – calculated using inflation differentials between South Africa and the US from 2020 to 2025 – indicate that the Rand remains undervalued. This disparity suggests an alignment closer to R14.30 in a conservative estimation and potentially as low as R11.30, revealing a risk premium embedded in the current forex dynamics.
Bold and Radical Shift in Policies are required.
South Africa’s economy recorded modest growth of just 0.8% during the second quarter of 2025, continuing a pattern of sluggish expansion that has persisted over the past decade. With the economy still struggling to break free from its constraints, serious reforms and strategic policy adjustments are essential if South Africa is to achieve sustainable growth rates significantly higher than the current 0.8% average.
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