Skip to main content
Invest Now
012 012 5270
Copyright © Aluma Capital (Pty) Ltd. All rights reserved.
Aluma Capital (Pty) Ltd is a registered Financial Services Provider (FSP 46449) in terms of The Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (37 of 2002)
Frederick Mitchell, Chief Economist | Aluma Capital (Pty) Ltd
Frederick Mitchell
August 14, 2025

Mining Production and Sales

June 2025

In June 2025, mining activity in South Africa increased by 2.4% year-on-year, following a modest 0.2% rise in May.

This growth was mainly driven by:

  • A 3.0% increase in platinum production, which contributed 1.0 percentage points to the overall growth for the month
  • A 3.7% rise in coal production, adding 0.8 percentage points
  • Chromium mining expanding by 9.0%, contributing a further 0.5 percentage points

For the rolling quarter ending June 2025, seasonally adjusted mining production increased by 3.9% compared to the first quarter of 2025. The quarterly growth was primarily driven by:

  • Platinum mining, which expanded by 9.0%, adding 2.5 percentage points
  • Gold production, which increased by 4.7%, contributed an additional 0.6 percentage points
  • Chromium mining, which recorded an 8.5% growth, adding 0.5 percentage points to quarterly sector growth

However, annual nominal mining sales declined sharply by 14.4% in June. This contraction followed a trend of declining sales across several mining subsectors during the month, including:

  • Gold, which fell by 53.7% and subtracted 13.6 percentage points from total mining sales growth
  • Manganese ore, which decreased by 33.7%, subtracting 2.7 percentage points
  • Coal, which contracted by 5.5%, contributed a further 1.2 percentage points to the decline

The mining sector remains crucial to South Africa’s economy, providing foreign exchange income and employment for approximately 434,000 people, according to StatsSA labour statistics for the second quarter of 2025. Employment within the sector has marginally increased from the previous quarter, underscoring its continued importance. Nevertheless, significant challenges remain, including concerns around exports to the US following new tariff measures introduced on 7 August, potential loss of AGOA benefits in September, and issues related to the new Mining Charter.

On the global stage, geopolitical tensions between the US and China—marked by trade conflicts and tariff wars—continue to disrupt international markets and restrict trade flows. As a positive development, certain mining materials used in steelmaking have been temporarily exempted from high tariffs in the US, which provides some relief for this vital sector of the South African economy, especially in terms of employment, foreign exchange earnings and economic growth.

Back to News

More Coverage

A Watershed Moment: Global Ceasefire and Massive Oil Correction Offer Crucial Relief for the SA Economy

A sudden global shift has delivered much-needed relief for South Africa. Following a Middle East ceasefire, oil prices have dropped sharply and the Rand has strengthened—easing pressure on fuel costs and inflation. While earlier price spikes still weigh on the outlook, this combined correction offers a critical window for economic stability, improved consumer confidence, and renewed growth momentum.

The Great Fuel Buffer

South Africa finds itself balancing global energy shocks with decisive local action. As rising oil prices threaten to strain consumers and key industries, government intervention has softened the immediate impact—highlighting both the urgency of the moment and the need for smarter, more resilient fiscal tools to manage future volatility.

SARB opts for Strategic Resilience

The South African Reserve Bank has opted for a “hawkish hold,” maintaining the repo rate at 6.75% despite headline inflation hitting a milestone low of 3.0%. Governor Lesetja Kganyago emphasised that while the inflation target has been met, the MPC remains wary of a potential “energy tax” on the economy, driven by global oil prices surging above $100 per barrel. Consequently, the Bank has adopted a cautious, forward-looking stance, slightly lowering the 2026 GDP growth forecast to 1.1% to account for these external shocks and ensure long-term currency stability.

Navigating the Geopolitical Crosswinds

South Africa faces renewed inflation risks despite brief market relief, driven by rising fuel costs and import dependence. The SARB is likely to hold interest rates to protect price stability.

The Perfect Storm:

This morning, South Africans received what should have been a crowning achievement for the South African Reserve Bank (SARB). Data from Stats SA revealed that the Consumer Price Index (CPI) cooled to 3.0% in February, down from 3.5% in January. This lands the country perfectly on the SARB’s new, more ambitious inflation target.