Skip to main content
Invest Now
012 012 5270
Copyright © Aluma Capital (Pty) Ltd. All rights reserved.
Aluma Capital (Pty) Ltd is a registered Financial Services Provider (FSP 46449) in terms of The Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (37 of 2002)
Frederick Mitchell, Chief Economist | Aluma Capital (Pty) Ltd
Frederick Mitchell
August 14, 2025

Mining Production and Sales

June 2025

In June 2025, mining activity in South Africa increased by 2.4% year-on-year, following a modest 0.2% rise in May.

This growth was mainly driven by:

  • A 3.0% increase in platinum production, which contributed 1.0 percentage points to the overall growth for the month
  • A 3.7% rise in coal production, adding 0.8 percentage points
  • Chromium mining expanding by 9.0%, contributing a further 0.5 percentage points

For the rolling quarter ending June 2025, seasonally adjusted mining production increased by 3.9% compared to the first quarter of 2025. The quarterly growth was primarily driven by:

  • Platinum mining, which expanded by 9.0%, adding 2.5 percentage points
  • Gold production, which increased by 4.7%, contributed an additional 0.6 percentage points
  • Chromium mining, which recorded an 8.5% growth, adding 0.5 percentage points to quarterly sector growth

However, annual nominal mining sales declined sharply by 14.4% in June. This contraction followed a trend of declining sales across several mining subsectors during the month, including:

  • Gold, which fell by 53.7% and subtracted 13.6 percentage points from total mining sales growth
  • Manganese ore, which decreased by 33.7%, subtracting 2.7 percentage points
  • Coal, which contracted by 5.5%, contributed a further 1.2 percentage points to the decline

The mining sector remains crucial to South Africa’s economy, providing foreign exchange income and employment for approximately 434,000 people, according to StatsSA labour statistics for the second quarter of 2025. Employment within the sector has marginally increased from the previous quarter, underscoring its continued importance. Nevertheless, significant challenges remain, including concerns around exports to the US following new tariff measures introduced on 7 August, potential loss of AGOA benefits in September, and issues related to the new Mining Charter.

On the global stage, geopolitical tensions between the US and China—marked by trade conflicts and tariff wars—continue to disrupt international markets and restrict trade flows. As a positive development, certain mining materials used in steelmaking have been temporarily exempted from high tariffs in the US, which provides some relief for this vital sector of the South African economy, especially in terms of employment, foreign exchange earnings and economic growth.

Back to News

More Coverage

Producer Price Inflation

October 2025
In October 2025, producer price inflation rose to 2.9%, an increase from 2.3% in September. However, on a monthly basis, there was a slight decline in producer prices, down by 0.1%.

Retail Sales Performance

September 2025
Retail sales in South Africa rose by 3.1% in September, slightly exceeding market expectations of 3.0%, as anticipated by analysts for that month. This growth indicates a continuing recovery in consumer demand within the economy.

SARB Lowers Interest Rates as Stability Improves

The South African Reserve Bank (SARB) has taken a prudent and measured step by reducing its base interest rate from 7.0% to 6.75%, marking a significant moment in the country’s monetary policy trajectory. This decision, made by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), underscores the bank’s cautious optimism about South Africa’s economic outlook amidst a complex global backdrop.

Consumer Inflation

October 2025
In September 2025, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) saw a modest rise to 3.4%, slightly up from 3.3% in August, yet just below the analysts’ forecast of 3.5%.

Why Aluma does not Force an Interest Cut

Cautious Optimism Amidst Inflation and Reform Momentum
As the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) prepares to announce its interest rate decision later this week, market watchers are closely divided between expectations of a modest cut and maintaining the status quo. With approximately 70% of economists foreseeing a 25-basis point reduction from 7.00% to 6.75%, the prevailing sentiment reflects confidence in economic stabilization. However, a significant proportion remain cautious, suggesting that the SARB may choose to hold interest rates unchanged for another month, given the current inflation trajectory and recent developments in fiscal discipline.
0:00
0:00