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November 12, 2024
November 12, 2024

Investment Resilience

The landscape of international stock markets and cryptocurrencies has witnessed significant movement and resilience since Donald Trump’s re-election on November 6, 2024. This electoral outcome has injected a renewed sense of optimism among investors, influenced by expected continuities in pro-business policies, tax reforms, and regulatory frameworks that foster growth and innovation.
Market Resilience Trump | Aluma Capital (Pty) Ltd

In the immediate aftermath of the election, global stock indices, notably the S&P 500, exhibited remarkable upward momentum. Investor enthusiasm surged as expectations around sustained economic policies invigorated market sentiment. The S&P 500, often viewed as a benchmark for global economic health, reached new heights, propelled by strong corporate earnings across sectors such as technology, healthcare, and consumer discretionary. The favourable regulatory environment has allowed these sectors to thrive, thus catalysing further investment.

The rise of equities has not been limited to the U.S. markets; emerging markets have also gained traction. Increased foreign investments and an appetite for high-growth opportunities have driven stock market rallies in countries with robust trade relationships with the U.S. This interconnectedness highlights a more global economic dynamic that thrives on stability, presenting abundant opportunities for investors.

Parallel to the resurgence in traditional equities, the cryptocurrency market has seen impressive price increases, particularly for Bitcoin, which recorded a historic price surge of over $80,000 shortly after the elections. This remarkable appreciation is indicative of a growing acceptance and institutional interest in cryptocurrencies. As investors increasingly view Bitcoin as a digital store of value akin to gold, it has emerged as a potential hedge against traditional financial vulnerabilities and inflation concerns. The ongoing institutional adoption signals that Bitcoin is finding its place within diversified investment portfolios, enhancing its legitimacy and accessibility in the broader financial landscape.

The recent favourable debates surrounding cryptocurrency regulations further bolster this positive sentiment. With a conducive environment for innovation and growth stemming from the election results, the crypto industry is poised to thrive amidst evolving regulatory landscapes. The increasing recognition of Bitcoin’s value by established financial institutions fosters a growing ecosystem of crypto-related products and services, thereby enhancing investor confidence.

Another notable trend observed post-elections is the strength of the U.S. dollar. A robust dollar reflects growing confidence in the U.S. economy and its policies. Following the election, the dollar has demonstrated increased strength against major currencies, driven by investor optimism about sustained economic growth. This upward trajectory in dollar strength may have mixed implications for U.S. exports but simultaneously benefits consumers by lowering import costs.
As global investors seek safety in dollar-denominated assets during times of uncertainty, the dollar’s position as the world’s primary reserve currency remains unchallenged. Though the strong dollar might create challenges for some sectors, it underscores the underlying confidence in the U.S. economic outlook.

In summary, the movement in international stock markets and cryptocurrencies since the November 6 elections showcases a resilient and dynamic investment climate. The synergy between pro-business policies, strong corporate earnings, increasing cryptocurrency adoption, and dollar strength creates a favourable environment for investors. By embracing a diversified portfolio that includes both traditional equities and innovative digital assets, investors are well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities. As the global economy continues to evolve, the potential for substantial growth remains, offering a promising outlook for those navigating this ever-changing financial landscape.


Frederick Mitchell, Chief Economist | Aluma Capital (Pty) Ltd

Frederick Mitchell

Frederick Mitchell is an economist with 16 years of experience, specializing in the intersection of politics, economics, and finance on both domestic and international levels.

His extensive background spans the private sector, where he worked in equity and investment, as well as the public sector, where he served as a senior economist at SARS.

As part of the Aluma team, Frederick leverages his expertise to identify sectors with growth potential and assess those with higher risk, providing valuable insights and strategic advice.

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