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October 3, 2025

Private Sector Credit Extension (PSCE)

August 2025

In August 2025, credit demand grew by 5.9%, slightly below the anticipated market prediction of 6.0% for the month. Since the initiation of interest rate cuts in September 2024, there has been a noticeable acceleration in overall credit growth, with most subcategories showing increases, particularly in July.

However, mortgage advances and credit for acquiring fixed assets continue to be restrained despite the ongoing reductions in interest rates. The South African property market remains sluggish, indicating low capital expenditure from both households and businesses. This sector’s recovery is being hindered by high consumer debt levels, stagnant wages, and the rising cost of living. Nevertheless, the full advantages of lower interest rates are projected to emerge later in 2025, as household disposable incomes are boosted by positive market sentiment and the potential for additional rate cuts by the South African Reserve Bank (SARB).

In August, instalment credit sales rose once more by 0.7% on a month-on-month basis, achieving an annual growth rate of 7.8%. Over the past two years, consumers have increasingly turned to short-term credit to cope with rising living costs, as evidenced by an 8.5% increase in other loans and advances, slightly down from the 8.9% noted in July.

With inflation remaining favourable, further rate reductions are expected to enhance disposable incomes, thereby supporting increased demand for goods and fixed assets in the third and fourth quarters of 2025 and beyond.


More Coverage

November 2025
In November 2025, producer price inflation increased to 2.9%, reflecting the same growth rate as the previous month. However, there was no change on a monthly basis compared to October.
October 2025
In October 2025, mining activity in South Africa saw a year-on-year increase of 5.8%, following a 1.4% rise recorded in September.
November 2025
In November 2025, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by 3.5% year-on-year, slightly down from 3.6% in October and marginally below analysts’ forecast of 3.7%.
October 2024
In October, retail sales in South Africa rose by 2.9%, surpassing the anticipated 2.3% growth forecasted by analysts. This growth highlights a continued recovery in consumer demand within the economy.
October 2025
In October 2025, South Africa’s manufacturing output experienced a modest increase of 0.2%, following a 1.0% rise in September. This growth fell short of the market forecast, which anticipated a 1.4% increase for the month. The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) dropped by 1.6 points, from 50.8 in September to 49.2 in October, indicating a slight regression in the manufacturing business climate.
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