Skip to main content
Copyright © Aluma Capital (Pty) Ltd. All rights reserved.
Aluma Capital (Pty) Ltd is a registered Financial Services Provider (FSP 46449) in terms of The Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (37 of 2002)
November 14, 2025

Mining Production and Sales

September 2025

In September 2025, mining activity in South Africa increased by 1.2% year-on-year, after remaining unchanged in August.

This growth was primarily driven by:

  • A 6.7% increase in platinum production, which contributed 1.1 percentage points to the overall mining output for the month.
  • A 5.9% rise in gold production, adding a further 0.6 percentage points.
  • A 1.5% increase in coal mining, contributing an additional 0.4 percentage points to total monthly production.

For the third quarter of 2025, seasonally adjusted mining production rose by 2.5% compared to the previous quarter. The quarterly growth was mainly driven by:

  • Platinum mining, which expanded by 6.7%, contributing 1.7 percentage points.
  • Coal production, which increased by 1.0%, adding 0.3 percentage points.
  • Manganese ore, which grew by 6.8%, contributing a further 0.5 percentage points.

Nominal mining sales climbed by 16.6% in September. Several subsectors, notably supported this positive trend:

  • Platinum sales, which surged by 53.8%, contributing 11.3 percentage points to total mining sales growth.
  • Gold sales, which increased significantly by 60.4%, adding 9.6 percentage points.
  • Chromium ore sales, which rose by 12.5%, contributing another 1.1 percentage points.

However, some segments negatively impacted mining sales:

  • Coal sales, which declined by 9.8%, subtracting 2.5 percentage points.
  • Manganese ore sales, which fell by 22.9%, reducing sales by 1.8 percentage points.

The mining sector remains vital to South Africa’s economy, generating foreign exchange and providing employment for approximately 449,000 people, 16 000 more than in the previous quarter, according to StatsSA labour statistics for the third quarter of 2025. The sector grew by 3.7% from the first to the second quarter of 2025, based on recent GDP data. This quarterly growth is encouraging, given the sector’s ongoing importance for employment and foreign earnings.

Employment within the industry has slightly increased compared to the previous quarter, underscoring its continued significance. Nonetheless, several challenges persist, including concerns over exports to the US following new tariff measures introduced on 7 August, proposed export tariffs on manganese, and import tariffs on steel exports to the Eurozone. The sector also faces difficulties related to the loss of AGOA benefits in September and ongoing issues surrounding the new Mining Charter.

On the international front, geopolitical tensions between the US and China—characterised by trade conflicts and tariff disputes—continue to disrupt global markets and limit trade flows. However, some positive developments have emerged, such as the temporary exemption of certain mining materials used in steelmaking from high US tariffs. This provides some relief for the sector, which remains crucial to South Africa’s economy in terms of employment, foreign exchange, and overall growth.


More Coverage

In June 2026, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) saw a significant increase of 5.0% year-on-year, overtaking May’s 4.5% rise and exceeding market predictions. The surge, driven by notable upticks in housing, utilities, transport, and financial services, signals a persistent inflationary trend that has once again breached the Reserve Bank’s upper target limit. This economic pressure is eroding household purchasing power in South Africa, exacerbated by enduring high interest rates and elevated fuel prices due to ongoing global conflicts. As businesses and consumers increasingly lean on short-term credit, they face heightened vulnerability to volatile interest rates, exchange rates, and import costs. This report delves into the multifaceted impact of these economic challenges, painting a vivid picture of South Africa’s current inflation dynamics and its implications for the future.
With inflation largely driven by global supply-side pressures rather than strong consumer demand, another SARB interest rate hike may do little to reduce price increases while placing additional strain on already financially stretched South African households. Although higher rates may help anchor inflation expectations and support the Rand, they risk slowing economic growth, increasing loan defaults, and further weakening consumer spending.
In May 2026 South Africa’s mining sector slipped into contraction, down 5.4% month on month after April’s revised 8.0% gain — driven by steep declines in iron ore ( 12.7), coal ( 6.1) and PGMs ( 4.4) that together shaved several percentage points off output; mining output for the rolling quarter fell 1.7%, led by drops in manganese, other metallics and coal. Yet nominal mining sales surged 13.9% on a 70.5% jump in platinum, stronger gold and coal receipts, underscoring a split between weaker physical production and firmer export earnings. With the sector employing roughly 476,000 people, having expanded in Q1 2026 amid higher gold and platinum prices, the industry remains central to South Africa’s economy, even as it grapples with new trade tariffs (including US and proposed manganese measures), the loss of AGOA preferences, and uncertainty around the Mining Charter. Read the full report for detailed drivers, regional implications, and policy paths to stabilise output and sustain foreign earnings resilience
In “South Africa’s Inflation Dilemma: Why Bleeding an Anaemic Patient Won’t Cure the Illness,” the article navigates the precarious economic landscape facing South Africa amidst rising inflation and stagnant growth. With consumer demand faltering due to slow wage growth, recent fuel price hikes, and increased municipal fees, the country stands at a critical junction. The looming threat of another interest rate hike by the South African Reserve Bank could further cripple an already fragile economy, likened to an anaemic patient, with potential long-term repercussions for job creation and corporate investment. However, recent geopolitical developments offer a flicker of hope, as a ceasefire in the US-Iran conflict has led to a decline in global oil prices, promising immediate relief for consumers and a slower inflation trajectory. The article argues that maintaining the current repo rate is essential to allow this relief to translate into economic growth and stability. Dive into the full report to explore how South Africa can navigate these turbulent waters without sacrificing its fragile economic health.
In a rapidly shifting economic landscape, May 2026 saw credit demand growth of 8.6%, falling short of the anticipated 9.4% forecast. Since interest rate cuts began in September 2024, credit growth has generally surged, particularly following strategic interest rate reductions by the South African Reserve Bank amidst global tensions and skyrocketing energy costs. However, the South African property market stagnates due to soaring consumer debts, muted wage increases, and escalating living expenses, notably in household fuel and utility prices. While instalment credit sales posted a modest rise, the reliance on short-term credit underscores consumer struggles with surging living costs. With inflation hovering above target and persistent high fuel prices, the anticipated interest rate hike in July could further suppress demand, adding pressure to the already challenging economic recovery. Discover the dynamics shaping South Africa’s financial climate in this insightful analysis.