Skip to main content
Copyright © Aluma Capital (Pty) Ltd. All rights reserved.
Aluma Capital (Pty) Ltd is a registered Financial Services Provider (FSP 46449) in terms of The Financial Advisory and Intermediary Services Act (37 of 2002)
August 11, 2026

Employment Statistics in South Africa: 2026Q2

South Africa’s latest employment figures highlight the continued fragility of the country’s labour market, with unemployment rising and overall employment edging lower in the second quarter of 2026. While some sectors recorded modest gains, significant job losses in manufacturing and mining, alongside weaker employment in key provinces, point to persistent structural and economic pressures. Against a backdrop of global trade tensions, geopolitical uncertainty and questions surrounding future access to key export markets, the latest data underscores the challenges facing South Africa’s economic growth and job-creation prospects.

The employment statistics for the second quarter of 2026 again painted a sombre picture across certain sectors, as shown in the preceding table. Some sectors lost employment, with the Manufacturing and Mining sectors the most prominent in terms of job losses. The unemployment rate increased from 32.7% in the first quarter to 33.6% in the second quarter of 2026, exceeding market expectations of 33.1%. Similarly, the expanded unemployment rate increased from 43.7% to 43.8% during the second quarter of 2026.

In South Africa, total employment decreased by 16,000, to an estimated 16.7 million in the second quarter of 2026. Meanwhile, the number of unemployed individuals increased by around 345,000, bringing the total to approximately 8.5 million. The working-age population grew by about 121,000 again in the second quarter, as in the previous quarter, marking an increase of roughly 0.3%.

Employment rates fell in the following provinces: the Northern West (-15,000), Gauteng (-22,000), and Western Cape (-48,000), with increases recorded in Mpumalanga (+41,000) and the Eastern Cape (+13,000).

Overall, these employment figures are somewhat sombre, with the unemployment rate slightly worse than consensus forecasts. The decrease in employment can be attributed to declines across most sectors, although construction and trade increased notably during the last quarter under review. Ongoing international uncertainties, including the US tariff war against China and other countries, the conflict in the Middle East, and concerns about the future of the AGOA agreement beyond the 2026 extension, are likely to affect economic activity and job creation in South Africa in the short- to medium-term, especially in the Western Cape, which exports to the US market and is currently finding it increasingly difficult given the US administration’s stance towards South Africa as reflected in the latest employment numbers.


More Coverage

South Africa’s latest inflation figures provide some welcome relief, but a renewed surge in global oil prices threatens to undermine this progress. With fuel prices rising sharply due to external geopolitical and supply-side pressures, the debate over whether the SARB should respond with higher interest rates has become increasingly important. This article argues that raising rates to combat imported inflation would risk doing more harm than good—placing further pressure on households, businesses and investment in an economy already facing weak growth, high unemployment and significant industrial challenges.
Private sector credit growth remained resilient in July 2026, reflecting continued demand for financing despite elevated living costs and renewed interest rate uncertainty. While overall credit extension continues to benefit from the rate-cutting cycle that began in late 2024, subdued property activity and rising household reliance on short-term credit highlight ongoing pressure on consumers and businesses.
South Africa’s producer price inflation eased from 7.5% to 5.7% year-on-year in July 2026, but the slowdown offers little comfort as rising fuel, energy and intermediate-goods costs continue to reverberate through the economy. With petroleum-related products driving much of the increase, mining costs still elevated, and consumer inflation already above the South African Reserve Bank’s new target range, inflationary pressures remain firmly entrenched, even as monthly producer prices declined. This report examines the sectors driving the latest figures, the implications of ongoing Middle East-related energy shocks, and what the data could mean for consumer prices, inflation expectations, and the Reserve Bank’s upcoming interest-rate decision in September.
South Africa has received a much-needed inflation reprieve, with July headline inflation easing to 4.3% and giving the South African Reserve Bank room to hold interest rates steady, but monetary relief alone cannot rescue an economy facing contracting mining and manufacturing sectors, depressed investment, mass unemployment, and mounting pressure on export earnings. This report examines how a 12.5% US tariff and a 56% annualised plunge in exports are intensifying the country’s economic vulnerability, while diplomatic disputes over property rights, empowerment policy, rural safety, political rhetoric, and South Africa’s geopolitical alliances threaten access to the strategically vital US market. It also sets out the practical policy choices, from structural reform and infrastructure investment to pragmatic trade diplomacy, that could determine whether South Africa converts this brief moment of inflation stability into sustainable growth or slips deeper into stagnation
South Africa’s July 2026 inflation reading delivered a genuine surprise: consumer prices rose just 4.3% year-on-year, well below June’s 5.0% and under the 4.5% the market had pencilled in, yet the story beneath that headline is far more complicated than a simple cooling trend. Goods inflation has slipped into the SARB’s new 2–4% target band, but services inflation stubbornly holds at 5.0%, revealing that price pressure is now entering the economy through a channel monetary policy struggles to reach. Meanwhile, housing, transport, and financial services drove the bulk of the increase; fuel costs remain elevated amid the renewed Middle East conflict and rising oil prices; and households and businesses relying on short-term credit are dangerously exposed to any shift in rates, the rand, or import costs. Add US tariffs weighing on manufacturing, fragile 0.5% first-quarter growth, and a Reserve Bank that has already wrong-footed markets twice this year, and the run-up to the 23 September MPC meeting becomes anything but predictable. This report unpacks what the numbers actually signal, why the SARB is holding its nerve, and what it will take to tip the next rate decision either way.